Friday, December 14, 2007

Confidence at Japanese companies fell to its lowest level in more than two years




Japanese Business Confidence Drops
Confidence at Japanese companies fell to its lowest level in more than two years, a closely-watched Bank of Japan survey showed Friday, amid rising anxiety about a possible slowdown in the U.S. economy and recent market turmoil.

The quarterly "tankan" survey's sentiment index for large manufacturers fell from 23 in September to 19, below the 21 mark predicted by analysts and the lowest score since September 2005. A similar index for large non-manufacturers in the survey, which polls more than 10,000 companies nationwide, fell to 16 from 20.

The indices measure the percentage of companies reporting positive business conditions minus those who are negative. A decline in the numbers means a growing portion of companies are pessimistic.

Analysts said the results, along with recent sluggish growth figures, suggest the central bank will hold off from raising interest rates as it gauges the U.S. economy , a key export market , and fallout from the subprime mortgage crisis that has rattled global markets.

"The possibility of a rate hike in the near future, which was slim to begin with, have declined further given the results of this report," Lehman Brothers economist Hiroshi Shiraishi said in a note published Friday. Japan's benchmark interest rate was raised to 0.5 percent in February.

Japanese Economy Minister Hiroko Ota said the tankan's results did not change her view that Japan's economy is on an upward trend, but said the government would keep an eye on risks, including high oil prices and possible weaker demand from American consumers.

"I don't think the basic trend has changed," Ota told a press conference.

In some positive news, the quarterly survey showed that major companies plan to boost capital investment by 10.5 percent in fiscal 2007, higher than the 8.7 percent increase in September's estimate.

Still, recent economic indicators have been mixed, and the yen's recent rise against the dollar could erode exporters' profits. Last week, the government said the economy grew at an annual pace of just 1.5 percent, worse than a preliminary estimate of 2.6 percent, due to a a downward revision in capital expenditure figures.

The tankan's results spurred traders to sell the yen, driving the dollar to 112.46 yen in early afternoon trade from 112.21 yen overnight in New York. The stock market's reaction was muted, with the benchmark Nikkei 225 index dipping just 0.14 percent to close at 15,514.51, although it has dropped 3.3 percent over the last three days.

Wednesday, December 12, 2007

Samsung India, which claims to be number two in India, is planning to get into Blackberry’s shoesSamsung India, which claims to be number two in Ind.




Samsung ready to take on Blackberry.

Samsung India, which claims to be number two in India, is planning to get into Blackberry’s shoes. The company is expected to officially announce the launch of two handsets, one a touchscreen and another slider phone, in the business phone segment.

Samsung is also aiming to double its share in the Indian mobile phone market to 15 per cent in 2008, with expectations of selling around 10 million handsets. Samsung presently commands a market share of about 7 per cent.

According to Yuvraj Mehta, Samsung spokesperson in India, “We wanted to reach out to the imaging and business phone market in India and going for niche segments like enterprise users was the way ahead.”

With a 14.5 per cent share of the global mobile market during the July-Sept quarter, Samsung has already toppled Motorola to grab the second spot, right behind Nokia, which made more than a third of the 289 million phones sold worldwide in the period, says research firm Gartner.

According an analyst, “The company had difficulty in broadening the customer base in India since it was focused on high-end handsets alone. But with the inclusion of smartphones for the enterprise users, it stands to diversify its customer base by expanding the products including a premium 5 megapixel camera phone.”

According to Mehta, Samsung business phones would be priced below Rs 20,000 and have Windows operating system.

The Indian market, growing at around 40 per cent annually with an average 5 million new mobile connections every month, is a rich market for Samsung to sink its teeth in. Nokia presently dominates 70 per cent of the market since it entered in mid 1990s, making it difficult for competitors to get into the sector.

Asus Technology too had unveiled its plans to enter the Indian market last month by announcing two of its premium business phones.

Benson Lin, general manager, Asus (Asia-Pacific), indicated that in 2008 the company would announce several premium Asus PDA (personal digital assistants) phones.

Tuesday, December 11, 2007

Rocketing oil prices and a flurry of new mega-investments boosted the UAE economy



UAE economy to surge 16%

Rocketing oil prices and a flurry of new mega-investments boosted the UAE economy by 16% this year, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revealed.

The IMF said at least 80.8 billion dirhams ($22 billion) will be injected into the Emirates economy every year over the next decade, including a total of 128 billion dirhams into oil and gas projects, UAE daily Emirates Business 24/7 reported on Tuesday, citing a report released this month.

However, it warned that the country’s rapid growth has been “expensive”, particularly with inflation rising to record levels. Inflation in the UAE hit 9.3% in 2006.

“The UAE has enjoyed rapid economic growth, impressive by any global standard. Its challenge now is to address the housing constraint that is pushing up inflation while sustaining growth and ensuring macroeconomic and financial stability," the report said.

“Record high oil prices have generated increasing current account and fiscal surpluses and facilitated the build up of official foreign assets. But fiscal policy has remained prudent as evidenced in the decline in expenditures to the GDP (gross domestic product) and the non-oil fiscal deficit to the GDP.”

Projections by the UAE Ministry of Economy and Commerce reveal that the country’s GDP will jump by 16.5% in 2007, partly due to a surge in non-oil sectors such as industry, tourism, trade and construction.

By the end of 2007, GDP is expected to hit a record 698 billion dirhams, with the non-oil sector performing even better than the hydrocarbon sector, growing by about 21% to 455 billion dirhams.

Gross Capital Formation, which covers private and public investment, will rocket by 19% to 144 billion dirhams from 121 billion dirhams, the ministry said.

Etihad Airways was celebrating last month after securing the world's best first class services




Etihad secures best first class award

Etihad Airways was celebrating last month after securing the world's best first class services provider accolade from a trade publication.

The Abu Dhabi-based carrier won the prize at Business Traveller USA's best in business travel awards.

Business Traveller readers were asked to answer a survey on what they consider the leading airlines, hotels, cruise lines, and car rental firms. The results were used to decide the winners for these awards.

Etihad passengers receive a limousine chauffer service to and from Abu Dhabi and JFK airports. The airline also provides "first class service and comfort" during flights, according to Peter Baumgartner, Etihad Airways' executive vice president.

"This award from our customers in the US illustrates the impact Etihad is having in the fiercely competitive North American market and across the world," Baumgartner added.

Last year, Etihad also picked up two accolades at the World Travel Awards. It was named the Middle East's leading airline and first class provider.

"We are delighted to be building upon our success at the World Travel Awards and it caps a tremendous year for Etihad Airways," Baumgartner said. "However we will not be resting on our laurels and our customers can look forward to new in-flight innovations and services in 2008."

Etihad Airways was celebrating last month after securing the world's best first class services

Etihad secures best first class award
Etihad Airways was celebrating last month after securing the world's best first class services provider accolade from a trade publication.

The Abu Dhabi-based carrier won the prize at Business Traveller USA's best in business travel awards.

Business Traveller readers were asked to answer a survey on what they consider the leading airlines, hotels, cruise lines, and car rental firms. The results were used to decide the winners for these awards.

Etihad passengers receive a limousine chauffer service to and from Abu Dhabi and JFK airports. The airline also provides "first class service and comfort" during flights, according to Peter Baumgartner, Etihad Airways' executive vice president.

"This award from our customers in the US illustrates the impact Etihad is having in the fiercely competitive North American market and across the world," Baumgartner added.

Last year, Etihad also picked up two accolades at the World Travel Awards. It was named the Middle East's leading airline and first class provider.

"We are delighted to be building upon our success at the World Travel Awards and it caps a tremendous year for Etihad Airways," Baumgartner said. "However we will not be resting on our laurels and our customers can look forward to new in-flight innovations and services in 2008."

U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said Tuesday the opening of the NYSE Euronext (NYX:nyse euronext com



Paulson says opening of NYSE office in Beijing to spur investment.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said Tuesday the opening of the NYSE Euronext offices in Beijing should spur foreign investment in the country.

At the opening ceremony in China's capital, Paulson said the exchange's offices there symbolize "China's opening of its capital markets."
The opening ceremony comes a day before the third Cabinet-level meetings of the U.S.-China Strategic Economic Dialogue, or SED.
At the last SED in May, China agreed to let foreign exchanges open local offices. Nasdaq Stock Market Inc.
own Beijing office a week ago, and Tokyo Stock Exchange Inc. got approval to follow suit last month.
Paulson has said he plans to push the Chinese government this week to pick up the pace of financial reforms, including adopting a more flexible currency policy and lifting foreign ownership caps on financial services companies.
Over the weekend, China's foreign exchange regulator fulfilled another commitment from the May SED by tripling the amount that qualified foreign institutional investors can invest in local securities to US$30 billion.
The State Administration of Foreign Exchange also said in the statement it plans to expand a separate program allowing domestic institutional investors to invest overseas.

Monday, December 10, 2007

Harvard announces sweeping middle-income initiative

Source: Harvard '''
Cambridge, Mass. – Harvard President Drew Faust and Dean of the Faculty of Arts and Sciences Michael D. Smith today (Dec. 10) announced a sweeping overhaul of financial aid policies designed to make Harvard College more affordable for families across the income spectrum. The new initiative focuses on ensuring greater affordability for middle- and upper-middle-income families through major enhancements to grant aid, the elimination of student loans, and the removal of home equity from financial aid calculations.

This initiative builds on Harvard's recent pathbreaking policies to ensure that families with incomes below $60,000 are not asked to contribute to the cost of sending their children to Harvard.

The new policy has three major components:

The "Zero to 10 Percent Standard": Harvard's new financial aid policy dramatically reduces the amount families with incomes below $180,000 will be expected to pay. Families with incomes above $120,000 and below $180,000 and with assets typical for these income levels will be asked to pay 10 percent of their incomes. For those with incomes below $120,000, the family contribution percentage will decline steadily from 10 percent, reaching zero for those with incomes at $60,000 and below. For example, a typical family making $120,000 will be asked to pay approximately $12,000 for a child to attend Harvard College, compared with more than $19,000 under existing student aid policies. For a typical family with $180,000 of income, the payment would be approximately $18,000, compared with more than $30,000 today. The new standard reduces the cost to families by one-third to one-half, making the price of a Harvard education for students on financial aid comparable to the cost of in-state tuition and fees at the nation's leading public universities. The new initiative also establishes a standard that students and their families can easily understand.

No Loans: In calculating the financial aid packages offered to undergraduates, Harvard will not expect students to take out loans. Loan funds will be replaced by increased grants from the University. Of course, students will be permitted to cover their reduced cost of attendance through loans if they wish.

Eliminate Home Equity from Consideration: Under the new policy, Harvard will no longer consider home equity in determining a family's ability to pay for college. This will reduce the price by an average of $4,000 per year for affected families as compared with current practice.

"We want all students who might dream of a Harvard education to know that it is a realistic and affordable option," said Faust. "Education is fundamental to the future of individuals and the nation, and we are determined to do our part to restore its place as an engine of opportunity, rather than a source of financial stress. With no loans, no consideration of home equity, and a dramatic increase in grant aid, we are not tinkering at the margins, we are rebuilding the engine.

"This is a huge investment for Harvard," Faust continued, "but there is no more important commitment we could make. Excellence and opportunity must go hand in hand."

The new initiative amplifies Harvard's long-standing commitment to need-based financial aid — Harvard College awards neither merit aid nor athletic scholarships. Under the new initiative, the College will continue to consider individual circumstances in assessing a family's financial need. Families with unusually high medical or sibling educational expenses, for example, may be expected to contribute less than the expected percentage income, while those with substantial wealth that does not show up as income may find that they are expected to contribute a higher percentage.

Factors such as family size, health care costs, sibling educational expenses, and other nondiscretionary expenses that place a drain on family finances are considered carefully in assessing a family's need, and there is no income cut-off for need-based scholarship eligibility. Currently there are more than 100 families with incomes greater than $200,000 who, because of extenuating circumstances, receive need-based financial aid.

"I am very pleased that Harvard is in a position to make these dramatic changes, and I applaud President Faust and Dean Smith for their careful thought and decisive action in this area of central importance to the University and to higher education," said James R. Houghton, senior fellow of the Harvard Corporation. "Any investment of this magnitude requires trade-offs, even at a university with substantial endowment resources. But investments in the quality of our students — like investments in the excellence of our faculty and research enterprise — occupy a special place."

"Harvard College has had a very generous financial aid program for decades, and we have made significant enhancements in recent years, especially for families in the lower-income ranges," said Smith, who as dean of the Faculty of Arts and Sciences oversees Harvard College. "We are concerned, however, that families in the middle are feeling increasingly squeezed as they work more hours, pay more for housing and health care, and face greater uncertainty in retirement.

"We want to ease these burdens," Smith continued. "We want to make Harvard affordable for talented students from all financial backgrounds, and once they are here, we want to make sure they are able to take full advantage of the opportunities we provide to build their skills and knowledge and to engage their deepest interests. This experience is not possible if families are consumed with financial worry and students are consumed with debt."

The new initiative is the latest chapter in Harvard's systematic effort to increase affordability and widen access for qualified students from across the economic spectrum. In the winter of 2004, under the leadership of President Lawrence H. Summers, Harvard transformed the financial aid landscape with its announcement that families with annual incomes below $40,000 would not be expected to pay for their sons or daughters to go to Harvard. The zero-contribution threshold was raised to $60,000 in 2006, with further reductions in parental contributions for families with incomes up to $80,000. Over the past three years, the number of students in these income ranges has increased by 33 percent, representing a quarter of the entering Class of 2011.

"For the past several years, we in the Office of Admissions and Financial Aid have been talking with families about their needs and working with Clayton Spencer, vice president for policy, and researchers at the University to understand internal realities and external trends," said William R. Fitzsimmons, Harvard College's dean of Admissions and Financial Aid. "All of these inquiries have led us to the same conclusion — despite our best efforts to help families deal with rising college costs, our methods for measuring financial need are not as sensitive as they should be to the real circumstances faced by American families. Many parents won't even allow their sons and daughters to apply to private colleges, while others allow their children to attend but experience real pain in paying the share we ask of them. I am deeply grateful to Dean Smith, President Faust, and the Harvard Corporation for their willingness to take such powerful action to remedy this situation."

In a related move, Harvard in 2006 announced the elimination of its early action program — a form of nonbinding early admissions — and moved to a single admissions deadline of Jan. 1, beginning in the 2007-08 academic year. In explaining the decision, then-interim President Derek C. Bok stated that the change was designed to make the admissions process simpler and fairer. In his words, "early admissions programs tend to advantage the advantaged," as students from more sophisticated backgrounds often use the system to increase their chances of admission, while first-generation college students and those from high schools with fewer guidance counselors and other resources may miss out.

Harvard is using the time and capacity freed up by the move to a single admissions cycle to intensify its outreach and recruiting efforts. The admissions staff is now able to travel more widely to make presentations in key cities and other areas to educate students, families, and college counselors about Harvard and the college admissions process in general and is also working with secondary schools in a renewed effort to make applying to college less complicated and less stressful than it is today.

Currently, two-thirds of Harvard College students receive some form of financial aid, and half receive need-based scholarship aid from Harvard, totaling more than $98 million. Major enhancements to financial aid began under the leadership of Harvard President Neil L. Rudenstine. In the past decade, Harvard's grant budget has increased 143 percent while inflation increased by only 28 percent. With the new initiative fully in place this coming year, more than 90 percent of American families will be eligible to benefit from Harvard's exceptionally generous financial aid.

Basic of world (free) open trade facts

The economic case for an open trading system based on multilaterally agreed rules is simple enough and rests largely on commercial common sense. But it is also supported by evidence: the experience of world trade and economic growth since the Second World War. Tariffs on industrial products have fallen steeply and now average less than 5% in industrial countries. During the first 25 years after the war, world economic growth averaged about 5% per year, a high rate that was partly the result of lower trade barriers. World trade grew even faster, averaging about 8% during the period.


The data show a definite statistical link between freer trade and economic growth. Economic theory points to strong reasons for the link . All countries, including the poorest, have assets — human, industrial, natural, financial — which they can employ to produce goods and services for their domestic markets or to compete overseas. Economics tells us that we can benefit when these goods and services are traded. Simply put, the principle of “comparative advantage” says that countries prosper first by taking advantage of their assets in order to concentrate on what they can produce best, and then by trading these products for products that other countries produce best.

In other words, liberal trade policies — policies that allow the unrestricted flow of goods and services — sharpen competition, motivate innovation and breed success. They multiply the rewards that result from producing the best products, with the best design, at the best price.

But success in trade is not static. The ability to compete well in particular products can shift from company to company when the market changes or new technologies make cheaper and better products possible. Producers are encouraged to adapt gradually and in a relatively painless way. They can focus on new products, find a new “niche” in their current area or expand into new areas.

Experience shows that competitiveness can also shift between whole countries. A country that may have enjoyed an advantage because of lower labor costs or because it had good supplies of some natural resources, could also become uncompetitive in some goods or services as its economy develops. However, with the stimulus of an open economy, the country can move on to become competitive in some other goods or services. This is normally a gradual process.

Nevertheless, the temptation to ward off the challenge of competitive imports is always present. And richer governments are more likely to yield to the siren call of protectionism, for short term political gain — through subsidies, complicated red tape, and hiding behind legitimate policy objectives such as environmental preservation or consumer protection as an excuse to protect producers.

Protection ultimately leads to bloated, inefficient producers supplying consumers with outdated, unattractive products. In the end, factories close and jobs are lost despite the protection and subsidies. If other governments around the world pursue the same policies, markets contract and world economic activity is reduced. One of the objectives that governments bring to WTO negotiations is to prevent such a self-defeating and destructive drift into protectionism.

>more on research and analysis

Comparative advantage back to top This is arguably the single most powerful insight into economics. Suppose country A is better than country B at making automobiles, and country B is better than country A at making bread. It is obvious (the academics would say “trivial”) that both would benefit if A specialized in automobiles, B specialized in bread and they traded their products. That is a case of absolute advantage. But what if a country is bad at making everything? Will trade drive all producers out of business? The answer, according to Ricardo, is no. The reason is the principle of comparative advantage.

It says, countries A and B still stand to benefit from trading with each other even if A is better than B at making everything. If A is much more superior at making automobiles and only slightly superior at making bread, then A should still invest resources in what it does best — producing automobiles — and export the product to B. B should still invest in what it does best — making bread — and export that product to A, even if it is not as efficient as A. Both would still benefit from the trade. A country does not have to be best at anything to gain from trade. That is comparative advantage.

The theory dates back to classical economist David Ricardo. It is one of the most widely accepted among economists. It is also one of the most misunderstood among non-economists because it is confused with absolute advantage.

It is often claimed, for example, that some countries have no comparative advantage in anything. That is virtually impossible. Think about it ...